Exchange rate volatility and Japan-US commodity trade: An asymmetry analysis


Bahmani-Oskooee M., KARAMELİKLİ H.

WORLD ECONOMY, cilt.42, ss.3287-3318, 2019 (SSCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi)

  • Cilt numarası: 42 Konu: 11
  • Basım Tarihi: 2019
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1111/twec.12856
  • Dergi Adı: WORLD ECONOMY
  • Sayfa Sayısı: ss.3287-3318

Özet

Exchange rate volatility is said to affect trade flows in either direction. When increased volatility is separated from decreased volatility, asymmetric analysis reveals even more support for the fact that both increased volatility and decreased volatility affect trade flows in either direction. We add to this new literature by considering 57 industries that trade between Japan and the US. In addition to providing evidence of asymmetric response of their trade flows to a measure of exchange rate volatility, our approach identifies industries that could benefit from increased exchange rate volatility and those that could be hurt. Similarly, we identify industries that could benefit from decreased volatility and those that could be hurt. The overall conclusion is the adverse effects of dollar-yen volatility on the trade between the two countries.